The SC Freiburg Files
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Predictions

SC Freiburg

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte SCF — Club-Dossier SC Freiburg
Predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Freiburg's probability come from — and what moves it?

Freiburg vs Leipzig · Sat, 05/16, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home31.7%
Draw24%
Away44.3%

Freiburg: 31.7%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟡 Freiburg home +14.6pp
  • 🟢 Versus top-6 opponent -29.9pp
Home16.4%
Draw31.7%
Away52%

Freiburg: 16.4% (-15.3pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home38.5%
Draw25.5%
Away36%

Freiburg: 38.5%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -22.1pp — Pipeline model sees Freiburg weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for SC Freiburg. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 32

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 32 26 5 1 +81 83
2 BVB 32 20 7 5 +33 67
3 Leipzig 32 19 5 8 +21 62
4 Leverkusen 32 17 7 8 +23 58
5 Stuttgart 32 17 7 8 +20 58
6 Hoffenheim 32 17 7 8 +16 58
7 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 -8 44
8 Eintracht 32 11 10 11 -3 43
9 Augsburg 32 11 7 14 -14 40
10 Mainz 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Gladbach 32 8 11 13 -13 35
12 HSV 32 8 10 14 -15 34
13 Union 32 8 9 15 -20 33
14 Koeln 32 7 11 14 -8 32
15 Werder 32 8 8 16 -20 32
16 Wolfsburg 32 6 8 18 -25 26
17 St. Pauli 32 6 8 18 -28 26
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 -31 23